Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
Suspicion81/100
Entry21.5¢
Position$291
Estimated profit$1,066
0.0¢50¢100¢
Why this was flagged
- Bought the winner at 21.5¢ (~4.7× payout)
- Positioned 30.6h before the price jumped 11¢→98¢
- Sensitive category (information asymmetry plausible)
- Illiquid market (×1.5 risk)
Timeline
- Aug 10, 2026, 10:09 AM First bought the outcome at 21.5¢ (3 buys, 1,358 shares)
- Aug 12, 2026, 5:00 AM Price repriced 10.5¢ → 98.0¢ (+88 pts)
- 2026-08-12 06:48 Market resolved to Yes
The wallet
| Address | 0x5a0d0c6eee71b96db16e5e271e0fa724be8dfa97 |
| Alias | Experienced-Smell-Railroad |
| First activity | Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 PM |
| Trade count | ≥ 41 (established) |
| Current portfolio value | $20,024 |
| Cluster | 1 wallets bought within the same window |