Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
Suspicion100/100
Entry15.2¢
Position$2,057
Estimated profit$11,478
0.0¢50¢100¢
Why this was flagged
- Bought the winner at 15.2¢ (~6.6× payout)
- Large position: $2,057 = 4.1% of market volume
- Positioned 59.9h before the price jumped 11¢→98¢
- Sensitive category (information asymmetry plausible)
- Illiquid market (×1.5 risk)
Timeline
- Aug 9, 2026, 5:03 PM First bought the outcome at 15.2¢ (2 buys, 13,535 shares)
- Aug 12, 2026, 5:00 AM Price repriced 10.5¢ → 98.0¢ (+88 pts)
- 2026-08-12 06:48 Market resolved to Yes
The wallet
| Address | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 |
| Alias | SnowLover7 |
| First activity | Aug 5, 2026, 2:41 AM |
| Trade count | ≥ 41 (established) |
| Current portfolio value | $243,863 |
| Cluster | 1 wallets bought within the same window |